2027: ‘Nigeria Has Seen This Movie Before’ — Lagos APC Predicts Collapse of Anti-Tinubu Coalition

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The Lagos State chapter of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has dismissed moves by opposition forces to form a coalition against President Bola Tinubu’s re-election bid, warning that internal divisions and personal ambitions are likely to cause the alliance to collapse.

In a statement on Thursday, the APC spokesperson in Lagos State, Seye Oladejo, said the coalition lacked cohesion, ideological clarity, and mutual trust, describing it as an unstable arrangement driven primarily by power struggles among serial presidential aspirants.

“What is being marketed as a coalition is, in reality, a congregation of serial presidential aspirants, each unwilling to subordinate ego to collective purpose,” Oladejo said.

He added that the alliance has no shared ideology or national vision beyond the pursuit of power.

“From the outset, this assemblage has lacked ideological glue, moral cohesion, or a shared vision for Nigeria beyond a desperate fixation on power,” he stated.

Public Ultimatums Expose Divisions

Oladejo said that public ultimatums, preconditions, and demands for guaranteed tickets issued by opposition leaders have exposed deep-seated rifts within the coalition.

“Recent public posturing has further exposed the fault lines. Pre-conditions, ultimatums, and thinly veiled threats have replaced dialogue and consensus,” he said.

He noted that when leading figures insist on automatic presidential or vice-presidential tickets before alignment, it highlights the transactional nature of the coalition.

“When leading figures openly demand guaranteed tickets before ‘alignment,’ it becomes clear that this is not a partnership but a transactional bargain destined to collapse at first contact with reality,” Oladejo added.

‘A House Divided Against Itself’

The APC spokesman pointed to appeals by opposition leaders urging their supporters to stop attacking one another as evidence of internal hostility and organisational weakness.

“We now hear appeals to supporters and sympathisers of various aspirants to refrain from attacking one another while simultaneously promoting their respective interests,” he said.

“This is a classic case of a house divided against itself, where internal hostility has become so intense that public pleas for restraint are issued even before any meaningful structure is formed. A coalition that must beg its own followers for peace has already conceded defeat to its internal chaos.”

Historical Lessons: Coalitions Built on Convenience Collapse

Oladejo warned that coalitions built on convenience rather than conviction, and dominated by multiple power centres, are rarely sustainable.

“The presence of multiple power centres within the same tent, each convinced of its own inevitability, renders the project unsustainable,” he said.

“History is unkind to coalitions built on convenience rather than conviction, on arithmetic rather than ideology. Nigeria has seen this movie before, and the ending is always the same: fragmentation, recrimination, and implosion.”

APC Focused on Governance, Stability

While dismissing opposition manoeuvres, Oladejo emphasised that the APC remains focused on governance and consolidating the gains of the Renewed Hope Agenda under President Tinubu.

“The APC remains a tested platform with a proven capacity to manage diversity, resolve internal differences through established democratic processes, and present a coherent governance agenda,” he said.

“While the opposition rehearses discord and manufactures outrage, the APC is focused on governance, reforms, and consolidating the gains of the Renewed Hope Agenda under President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.”

Oladejo maintained that elections are won through performance, structure, and a national vision, not fragile alliances.

“As the countdown to 2027 continues, the question before the opposition is no longer whether to form a coalition, but whether such a coalition can survive its own contradictions,” he said.

“The signs are unmistakable: what looms is not a formidable alternative, but an impending implosion.”