Professor Jonah Onuoha, a political science expert at the University of Nigeria, Nsukka, has raised concerns about the lasting influence of Peter Obi’s “Obidient Movement” following his reported shift from the Labour Party (LP) to the African Democratic Congress (ADC).

In a recent interview in Nsukka, Prof. Onuoha argued that the grassroots energy which powered Obi’s unexpected 2023 successes, particularly in the South-East, has largely diminished and may be difficult to regain in time for the 2027 general elections.

“The enthusiasm that propelled Peter Obi and the Labour Party in 2023 is unlikely to reappear in 2027,” he said, citing post-election disappointment among supporters as a major factor in the movement’s decline. Many voters reportedly felt their hopes were unmet after the last general elections.

Onuoha suggested that this fading momentum could have influenced Obi’s decision to leave the Labour Party and join the ADC. “I do not believe Obi’s defection to the ADC will alter the electoral dynamics either in the South-East or across the country in 2027,” he explained.

The professor emphasized that the so-called “Obidient spirit” has largely lost its spark, making it extremely challenging to mobilize supporters with the same fervor as in 2023.

Looking ahead, Onuoha projected that the 2027 presidential race is likely to be dominated by the All Progressives Congress (APC) and the ADC, with the outcome dependent on which party presents a more credible and appealing candidate to the electorate.

Despite his critical assessment, the scholar encouraged political stakeholders to exercise restraint and focus on national unity, cautioning against rhetoric or actions that could inflame tensions ahead of the elections.

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